Tagged: winter storm RSS

  • Blizzard conditions return to Freehold and Monmouth County 

    by Steven DiMartino on February 9th, 2010 | Comment

    A significant winter storm is beginning to develop over the Gulf Coast that will bring the entire forecast area heavy snowfall and very strong winds.  The most significant impacts will be focused towards the coastal plain once again, where many locations have experienced one of the snowiest winters of all time.  This storm will likely [...]

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  • Another significant snowfall on the way for Freehold 

    by Steven DiMartino on February 8th, 2010 | Comment

    Here we go again!  Another major winter storm has a target for the northern Mid Atlantic with the potential for another one to two feet of snow for many locations in the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan area along with very strong winds and near zero visibility for Wednesday morning.

    The water vapor satellite [...]

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  • Winter Storm Overview 

    by Steven DiMartino on February 7th, 2010 | Comment

    Yesterday a significant winter storm impacted Monmouth County with very heavy snowfall, strong winds, and reduced visibility.  This was the second major winter storm this winter season (the first being the Pre Christmas Blizzard of December 19-20, 2009) that produced near white out conditions and over a foot of snow for many [...]

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  • Dangerous and complicated winter storm on the way for New Jersey 

    by Steven DiMartino on February 5th, 2010 | Comment

    I have to admit, it is these types of forecasts that I love.  High risk, high reward.  Kind of like being a gambler in a way as the adrenaline is pumping.  The forecast for this storm is one of the most complicated forecasts I've had to make in over 8 years of professional forecasting and [...]

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    • Chris F 9:29 am on February 5, 2010 Permalink | Reply

      Isn’t it funny how uncertain (and on what a huge range) it is to predict the weather tomorrow, but we know to the prevision of a fraction of a degree what the weather will be in 100 years? :-)

    • Theresa 11:12 am on February 5, 2010 Permalink | Reply

      Found this post while trying to decide if a weekend trip to Hoboken/NYC from Buffalo NY, driving down this evening and back Sunday afternoon would be a good idea. After reading this, it still seems uncertain. There could be 3 inches of snow after we get there, or we could get caught in near blizzard like conditions with the wind Friday evening.

      • Colleen Curry 11:40 am on February 5, 2010 Permalink | Reply

        From all the reports we’re hearing in these parts, it seems like the NY area will only get a few inches total. Plus, who doesn’t love a snowy NYC weekend? You’ll have the place to yourselves!

  • Uncertainty remains as major winter storm heads east 

    by Steven DiMartino on February 4th, 2010 | Comment

    I would love to say this morning that I know exactly what this storm is going to do and that I have complete confidence in the way the models are handling the moisture advection at the mid levels, the expansion of the precipitation shield, and the strength of the Sub Tropical disturbance.  If I could [...]

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  • Major winter storm to impact Monmouth County 

    by Steven DiMartino on December 18th, 2009 | Comment

    As I woke up this morning to look at the 06Z guidance, I had to laugh to myself.  Models converging on an idea for this storm?  Yeah right!  Of course, who thought this was going to be easy.

    500 MB Penn State

    This morning I went to a tried and true method that I learned [...]

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    • stillcrazy1 12:24 pm on December 18, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      I feel sorry for you people there in NJ, I live here in AZ. now, where light shows are in Evey town.It is really a pretty site to see, driving through town, though all of the lights.Christmas is a wonderful time of the year here.Still lots of christmas out here,with music & lights.Come on out & visit us, you’ll never want to go back.

    • Lisa S 12:33 pm on December 18, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      Don’t feel sorry for me, stillcrazy. I love living in NJ. You couldn’t pay me to move to Arizona. It’s a nice place to visit and after the boredom sets in, I love coming home to New Jersey.

    • Colleen Curry 1:39 pm on December 18, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      Wow, great forecast Steve. I’m trying to figure out how and when to drive to PA tomorrow, so this forecast is definitely helpful. I’ll be keeping an eye out for updates on that Tennessee thing!

  • The winter forecast for 2009/2010 season 

    by Steven DiMartino on November 6th, 2009 | Comment

    Atlantic SST Anomalies 10/26

    It's that time of year again where forecasters are thrown into a battle royal for best winter forecaster and that battle begins with the seasonal winter weather forecast.  To be perfectly honest, I have never really considered myself a long range/seasonal forecaster.  My love and my strength (I guess one feeds the other) has always [...]

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    • Lisa S 10:03 am on November 6, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      Wow! Steven, your knowledge is amazing. I’m blown away (pun intended) by your skills. Keep up the good work!

      • Steven DiMartino 7:35 pm on November 6, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        Thank you!

        I do similar work on my website every day, especially through severe weather and winter weather events, which as you have read, looks to keep me busy this year.

        • drazen 6:07 pm on December 2, 2009 Permalink | Reply

          if you can tell me what kind of winter expects Montenegro within 2009-2010, I would be grateful to you that we respond

    • Igor 12:43 am on November 7, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      Can you by any chance predict the winter in Europe , especially south-eastern part of it (Balkan{Macedonia,Bosnia,Serbia,Bulgaria,Montenegro}) cause i see very different winter predictions for that part , some say it will be mild winter , some say the strongest in 15-20 years , i don’t know who i should believe in . If u got the time ill be glad if u do that :)

      • Steven DiMartino 10:34 am on November 8, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        If the East coast sees a stormy and cold winter, you can bet eastern Europe and southeastern Europe will be rather pleasant. The reason? Physics and upper level wave dynamics.

        The idea behind cold air remaining on the North American side of the northern Hemisphere is the continued support of the Cahir’s ridge connection, which is gaining more and more support in the stratospheric anomalies. I should stress this is a NATURAL development and happens in El Nino years coupled with a negative state of the QBO. (in other words, don’t buy global warming hype on this situation, it’s not connected) As the ridge builds over eastern Europe, warm conditions should ensure, much like if a Southeast ridge was building over the United States. In La Nina years, this situation is usually reversed.

        Hope that helps!

    • drazen 5:59 pm on December 2, 2009 Permalink | Reply

      xsd

      • drazen 6:00 pm on December 2, 2009 Permalink | Reply

        what would winter be in Montenegro, I am from Podgorica and Podgorica can you expect snow 2009-2010

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